
We have been working to develop various tools to help make fuel management easier to plan and conduct.
Please note that you will need to have an account with Bushfire Prepare to access these tools.
Note that these products are still in development and available for testing. None of these tools should be wholly relied upon to plan and conduct a burn. Users should refer to the Bureau of Meterorology or Meteye websites to obtain more accurate forecast information for their location. Accuracy of the tools decrease beyond four days due to modelling and uncertainties. Please refer to the disclaimer and technical information below the tool.
If you use these tools and find errors or any issues, please report via the contact form
Important Notice: The weather data, forecasts, and historical records provided by this tool are for informational, educational, and planning purposes only.
No Warranties: This application integrates third-party data via the Open-Meteo API. While we strive to present accurate and timely meteorological data, all information is provided “as is” without warranties of any kind, either express or implied, regarding accuracy, completeness, reliability, or availability.
Not for Safety-Critical Decisions: Weather forecasting is inherently uncertain. This tool should never be used as a primary source for making life-safety decisions, property protection choices, or operational decisions during extreme or hazardous weather events. Always consult official alerts from your local national weather service (such as NOAA, DWD, or BoM).
Limitation of Liability: Under no circumstances shall the creators or operators of this website be liable for any direct, indirect, incidental, or consequential damages resulting from the use of, or inability to use, this tool or any reliance placed on its weather predictions.
Instead of relying on a single, distant airport weather station, our tool uses high-precision geographic coordinates (Latitude and Longitude) to pull localized data. The underlying architecture dynamically blends two tiers of meteorological models:
High-Resolution Local Models (1–7 km grid): For short-term tracking (typically the first 2 to 3 days), the app utilizes hyper-local regional models. This provides granular accuracy across complex terrains, coastlines, and urban environments.
Global Numerical Models (11–50 km grid): For mid-to-long-range forecasts (up to 7–16 days out), the system transitions into global macro-scale models to project large-scale atmospheric patterns.
Depending on your selected location and time horizon, data is driven by the following premier institutions:
| Model Provider / Dataset | Scope | Typical Spatial Resolution | Primary Use Case |
| ECMWF IFS (European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts) | Global | ~9 km | High-precision global forecasting & premium historical data |
| NOAA GFS / HRRR (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration) | Global / US | ~13 km (GFS) / ~3 km (HRRR) | Standard global forecasting & rapid-refresh continental US updates |
| DWD ICON (Deutscher Wetterdienst) | Global / Europe | ~11 km (Global) / ~2–7 km (Europe) | Highly reliable European and global localized tracking |
| Copernicus ERA5 / ERA5-Land | Global | ~11 km to 25 km | Gap-free, mathematically reanalyzed historical data dating back to 1940 |
Live Forecasts: Global models refresh every 6 hours, while high-resolution regional models (like HRRR or ICON-D2) refresh every 1 to 3 hours to capture rapid atmospheric changes.
Historical Accuracy: Historical records utilize climate reanalysis (ERA5). Reanalysis acts as a “capsule in time,” blending vast networks of ground stations, aircraft, weather buoys, radar, and satellite observations with physical models to fill in geographic gaps where physical weather stations do not exist.
This platform interfaces with specialized meteorological datasets to extract variables critical to fire behavior modeling, fire danger indexing, and smoke dispersion analysis.
Wind is the primary driver of fire spread, yet standard numerical weather models have inherent spatial limitations:
Grid Resolution vs. Micro-Meteorology: Standard models view the landscape in grids (typically 3 km to 11 km). They cannot accurately resolve hyper-local wind behaviors such as slope-driven winds (anabatic/katabatic), lee-side eddies, or canyon funneling.
The 10-Meter Standard: Forecasted wind speeds are modeled at the standard 10 meters above bare ground. Actual mid-flame wind speeds (the wind acting directly on the fire in the fuel bed) will vary based on forest canopy closure, understory density, and local topography.
Rather than tracking simple surface temperatures, fire management requires looking at the interactions between the atmosphere, the boundary layer, and dead/live organic materials:
| Monitored Variable / Index | Underlying Model Source | Scope / Horizon | Direct Application in Fire Management |
| Fine Dead Fuel Moisture (FDFM) | Calculated from Temp/RH grids | Surface Layer | Estimates the moisture content of 1-hour flash fuels (grass, leaves, pine needles). Dictates ignition probability, ease of catch, and spotting potential. |
| Mixing Height & Boundary Layer | ECMWF IFS / DWD ICON | Surface to ~3000 m | Predicts the vertical height of the atmosphere available for smoke dilution. Crucial for smoke management plans and forecasting smoke drift over smoke-sensitive areas or roads. |
| Wind Gust Potential | High-Resolution Regional (HRRR/ICON-D2) | Atmospheric Boundary Layer | Captures sudden, turbulent bursts of momentum mixing down to the surface, which can cause erratic fire behavior and line breaches. |
| Curing Index (Grassland Fuels) | Satellite Earth Observation (NDVI) | Landscape Grid | Tracks the percentage of dead/dry material in grassland fuel beds to determine when a landscape transitions from unburnable to highly volatile. |
Atmospheric profiles can destabilize rapidly during a fire event. While global models provide baseline trends every 6 hours, our engine prioritizes High-Resolution Rapid Refresh feeds to update wind shifts and humidity drops every 1 to 3 hours. Historical fire-day analysis utilizes ERA5 atmospheric reanalysis data, which blends historical satellite and weather balloon data to help reconstruct past fire-weather events for post-incident reporting or fire behavior training.